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The Margin in California’s U.s. Senate Race is Growing, According to a New Poll

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In the California battle to replace the late Dianne Feinstein in the U.S. Senate, U.S. Representative Adam Schiff is leading by five points, according to a recent survey.

1,100 potential voters participated in the Public Policy Institute of California survey, which was conducted between November 9 and November 16.

According to PPIC, 21% of respondents said they would vote for Schiff in the primary, while 16% said they would favor Rep. Katie Porter. Democrat Rep. Barbara Lee received 8% of the vote, while Republican and former MLB star Steve Garvey received 10%.

Similar to earlier studies conducted by PPIC for the California Senate, a sizable portion of voters remain unsure.

Several additional candidates, including James P. Bradley, Lexi Reese, Eric Early, Christina Pascucci, Jonathan Reiss, and Sarah Liew, had support in the low single digits according to a recent Inside California Politics/Emerson College survey. In a June survey, Schiff and Porter were virtually tied, but in the same poll, Schiff had a three-point advantage over Porter.

According to political analyst Dan Walters of CalMatters, this will be California’s first competitive U.S. Senate campaign in a century.

Walters recently pointed out that “two women, Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer, captured the two seats 31 years ago and held them for decades.” “Democrats Alex Padilla and Laphonza Butler are the state’s current senators; Republicans haven’t mounted a serious Senate drive in 25 years.” “Governor Gavin Newsom appointed the Democrats.”

According to Walters, the two candidates that stand the best chance of winning the March primary and moving on to the runoff in November are Schiff and Porter.

Walters stated that Butler’s campaign could have offered Garvey or another Republican a remote possibility of making the runoff if it had succeeded in splitting the Democratic vote any further.

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